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Market Research Report on China's Coal Chemical Industry in 2006

Market Research Report on China's Coal Chemical Industry in 2006

Table of contents
Published: Jan 6th,2007


Introduction


In recent years, with the rising prices of crude oil and natural gas, a shortage of oil & gas resources and the increasing oil importation, the Chinese energy industry is focusing on accelerating the development of the coal chemical industry. Traditional coal chemical industries such as coking and coal gasification ammonia synthesis maintain a rapid momentum. New coal chemical technologies such as Coal liquefaction synthetic oil, coal gasification synthetic alcohol ether and coal chemical cogeneration are also under way. With the start-up of the industrialization of the coal chemical industry, China is bound to be the largest country in this field.

Being the focus of medium-and-long-term national energy development strategy, the new coal chemical industry mainly occupies itself with production of clean energy and substitutes such as diesel oil, gasoline, aviation fuel, liquefied petroleum gas, the raw material ethene and polypropylene, alternative fuels (methyl alcohol, dimethyl aether) etc., being the new emerging industry with the combination technologies applied in energy resources and chemical engineering.

The coal chemical industry will play an important role in the sustainable development of China's energy resources in the next twenty years, which will reduce alleviation of environmental pollution caused by coal burning as well as reduce dependence on oil importation. In a word, there will be great demand and opportunities in China's coal chemical industry.

Currently, some domestic coal-mining enterprises and regions are taking advantage of abundant resources to bring about great economic returns and regard new coal chemical engineering as the top priority of the local economy. Great efforts have been made in the adjustment of the industrial structure based on the coal chemical industry to move forward along new industrialization route.

Generally, new coal chemical industry is its early stages, which requires huge investments and involves precision technologies. So, overall planning, technical studies, new techniques development and systematic optimization are needed to coordinate the development in coal,chemical, oil and electric power. In this way, the need of a fast-growing national economy will be met.


*This report is also available in Chinese - please search our website for further details




Table of Contents


1. The general development situation of coal chemical industry in China
1.1 The structure of the China's energy reserves: rich in coal, poor in oil
1.2 Coal's superiority in cost
1.3 Three main industry chains of coal chemical's application
1.3.1 Traditional coking
1.3.2 Calcium carbide and acetylene chemical industry
1.3.3 Coal gasification and liquefaction
1.4 The development situation of global coal chemical industry
1.5 Industrial support policy for coal chemical industry development in China


2. Coal-to-oil technology, cost and project progress of China's main enterprises
2.1 Development situation of international coal-to-oil technology
2.2 Selection of coal-to-oil scheme
2.3 Profits analysis for coal-to-oil project
2.4 The general situation and progress of main enterprise projects in China, such as Shenhua Group and YanKuang Group, etc.
2.5 China's policy orientation towards coal-to-oil projects


3. coking and acetylene chemical industry
3.1 The development situation and market analysis of coking and acetylene chemical industry in China
3.2 The development situation and market analysis of crude benzene in China
3.3 The development situation and market analysis of calcium carbide and acetylene chemical industry in China
3.3.1 Domestic consumption, cost and price of PVC produced by calcium carbide process
3.3.2 Domestic demand, consumption, cost and price of 1,4-butanediol(BDO) produced by calcium carbide process
3.3.3 Domestic price and output of polyvinyl alcohol(PVA) produced by calcium carbide process


4. The analysis of coal gasification technology, industry chain market ,cost and price
4.1 Brief introduction to coal gasification
4.2 The major downstream industry chains of coal gasification
4.2.1 The industry chain of synthetic ammonia
4.2.2 Carbamide and other nitrogenous fertilizer
4.2.2.1 Market analysis of carbamide and other nitrogenous fertilizer
4.2.2.2 Current cost and price status of carbamide and other nitrogenous fertilizer
4.2.2.3 Future supply and demand trend of carbamide and other nitrogenous fertilizer
4.2.3 Domestic capacity and price of nitric acid and nitric ammonium
4.2.4 Methanol
4.2.4.1 The global market analysis of methanol
4.2.4.2 The main international methanol equipment in progress
4.2.4.3 The forecast of future international methanol price
4.2.4.4 China's capacity expansion tendency
4.2.4.5 China's methanol consumption, price, material and production cost
4.2.5 DME
4.2.5.1 Relevant policy for the generalize of DME in China
4.2.5.2 DME production process
4.2.5.3 DME investment and production cost
4.2.6 Acetic acid
4.2.6.1 Domestic acetic acid demand
4.2.6.2 Domestic acetic acid capacity
4.2.6.3 Analysis of acetic acid cost and price
4.2.7 Methanol-to-olefin (MTO) or methanol-to-propylene (MTP)
4.2.7.1 Cost analysis of MTO
4.2.7.2 Cost analysis of Methanol-to-olefin
4.2.8 The price of formaldehyde
4.2.9 Investment and cost analysis of Polygeneration based on coal gasification


5. Analysis of coal chemical industry related enterprises
5.1 Shenhua Group Co., Ltd
5.2 Shandong Yankuang Group Co., Ltd
5.3 Lu'an Group Co., Ltd
5.4 Shandong Hualu Hengsheng Group Co., Ltd
5.5 Shanxi Sanwei Group Co., Ltd
5.6 Shanxi Coking Coal Group Co., Ltd
5.7 Shanxi Datong Coalmine Group Co., Ltd
5.8 Ningxia Coal industry Group Co., Ltd
5.9 Henan Pingdingshan Coal Group Co., Ltd
5.10 Anhui Huaibei Kuangye Group Co., Ltd
5.11 Tianji Coal Chemical Industry Group Co., Ltd

Figures
Fig. 1 Energy reserves and consumption structure in China (calculated by heat value)
Fig. 2 The degree of crude oil dependence keeps growing in China
Fig. 3 Energy reserves structure of different areas in the world
Fig. 4 Historical price ratio of coal and crude oil in America (tons coal/barrels crude oil)
Fig. 5 Distribution of coal downstream industries in China
Fig. 6 Applied industry chains of coal chemical industry
Fig. 7 Converse distribution of coal reserves and water reserves in China
Fig. 8 Process flow diagram of direct liquefaction and indirect liquefaction
Fig. 9 The convert crude oil price and commercial profit margin of Sasol Company's coal-to-oil department for the past years (FY1999¡«FY2006£©
Fig. 10 The average export price and output of coke in China
Fig. 11 The import quantity of refined benzene increases greatly
Fig. 12 Price difference between refined crude benzene products (pure benzene/ toluene/ dimethylbenzene) and crude benzene
Fig. 13 The downstream utilization distribution of calcium carbide in China
Fig. 14 The output of calcium carbide for the past years in China
Fig. 15 PVC's apparent consumption and market price in China
Fig. 16 The capacity growth and utilization ratio of PVC in China
Fig. 17 The growth of domestic BDO demand
Fig. 18 BDO downstream terminal distribution and the apparent consumption of main downstream products
Fig. 19 Domestic BDO freight price
Fig. 20 Domestic PVA market price
Fig. 21 Domestic PVA output growth
Fig. 22 Major downstream Industry chain subdivision of coal gasification
Fig. 23 The production cost of carbamide and the price of natural gas have positive correlation in America
Fig. 24 Global synthetic ammonia is likely to keep booming
Fig. 25 The comparison between carbamide capacity and demand growth for the next three years in China
Fig. 26 The output and growth rate of concentrated nitric acid
Fig. 27 The downstream application of nitric acid
Fig. 28 Certain correlation of nitric acid, saltpeter ammonium and carbamide's price
Fig. 29 Downstream application distribution of methanol in worldwide and China
Fig. 30 Forecast of global methanol demand growth
Fig. 31 Forecast of international methanol price in the next few years by CMAI
Fig. 32 The price of methanol, synthetic ammonia and nature gas tend to synchronize in America
Fig. 33 Material distribution of methanol production in China
Fig. 34 Apparent consumption and market price of methanol in China
Fig. 35 Forecast comparison of methanol's newly increasing demand and capacity in the next few years in China
Fig. 36 Domestic output comparison among methanol, gasoline, LNG, ethylene and propylene
Fig. 37 The relationship among methanol production cost, coal price and equipment scale
Fig. 38 The price of ethanol and gasoline synchronize; methanol price departs from the energy price tendency
Fig. 39 Downstream acetic acid demand distribution
Fig. 40 The variation and forecast of acetic acid apparent consumption in China
Fig. 41 Forecast of global acetic acid's efficient capacity utilization ratio
Fig. 42 The tendency of acetic acid price
Fig. 43 Formaldehyde price and the price difference between formaldehyde and methanol
Fig. 44 Cost comparison between standalone system of methanol production and polygeneration system for combined heat, power and methanol production based on coal gasification
Fig. 45 Investment and cost comparison between standalone system of coal gas and polygeneration system for combined heat, power, methanol production and gas
Fig. 46 The price of natural gas in different areas worldwide (average in 2005)
Fig. 47 Price tendency comparison of crude oil, natural gas and coal
Fig. 48 The negative correlation between practical coal price and coal consumption in America
Fig. 49 The practical coal price in America is in a downward tendency for a long term (no variation in USD since 2000)
Fig. 50 The development course of international coal gasification technology
Fig. 51 Shell pulverized coal gasification flow diagram
Fig. 52 International programming sketch map of coal gasification polygeneration
Fig. 53 Yankuang Group's programming sketch map of coal gasification polygeneration

Tables
Table 1 Cost comparison of coal, natural gas and crude oil's conversion into methanol
Table 2 Estimation comparison of world main chemical industry company
Table 3 Estimate value table of chemical industry enterprise highly concerned by CICC
Table 4 Price comparison of equal heat quantity energy
Table 5 Comparison of coal, crude oil and natural gas' composition structure
Table 6 Coal-to-oil cost structure estimate offered by Sasol
Table 7 Technology and economic comparison between coal direct liquefaction and indirect liquefaction by Shenhua Group
Table 8 Domestic coal-to-oil equipments in progress
Table 9 Coking production probable share
Table 10 Comparison of Baosteel Group's two crude benzene refinery equipment yield ratio
Table 11 Cost structure comparison between PVC produced by calcium carbide process and ethylene process (when oil price is 60 USD/ barrel and calcium carbide price is 2400 RMB/ton)
Table 12 Cost structure comparison between BDO produced by calcium carbide process and maleic anhydride process (when maleic anhydride price is 9200 RMB/ton and calcium carbide price is 2500 RMB/ton)
Table 13 Domestic major enterprise in concentrated nitric acid production
Table 14 Major international methanol equipments in progress
Table 15 Characters comparison between DME and other energy
Table 16 Investment cost comparison of DME (2.5 million tons/year) produced by natural gas process
Table 17 Estimated cost comparison of two steps methanol dehydrates to DME process
Table 18 Domestic acetic acid capacity and output in 2005
Table 19 Domestic acetic acid capacity in progress
Table 20 Comparison between UOP and Dalian Institute of Chemical Physics
Table 21 Cost comparison of methanol-to- olefin (MTO), petroleum cracking and ethane cracking
Table 22 China's formaldehyde consumption downstream distribution in 2003
Table 23 Public companies related to coal chemical industry
Table 24 Adjusted profit forecast in 2007 offered by Shandong Hualu Hengsheng Group Co., Ltd
Table 25 Financial data and forecast offered by Shandong Hualu Hengsheng Group Co., Ltd
Table 26 Adjusted profit forecast in 2007 offered by Shanxi Sanwei Group Co., Ltd
Table 27 Financial data and forecast offered by Shanxi Sanwei Group Co., Ltd
Table 28 Parameter comparison of major international coal gasification technology
Table 29 Fifteen equipments of Shell technology introduced by China
Table 30 China's fifteen types of coal fit to direct gasification (experiment data)
Table 31 China's methanol projects in progress or programming


 
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