Market research report on gold industry in China in 2007
Table of Contents
Chapter 1 Profile of gold industry 4
1.1 Operating environment of domestic gold industry 4
1.1.1 Analysis of balance of global economy and trade 4
1.1.2 Analysis of China's economic growth factors 17
1.2 Management system of China's gold industry 18
1.3 Policy, industrial characteristics and main influencing
factors of China's gold industry 19
1.4 Status of gold industry in national economy 20
1.4.1 Status in national asset reserve 20
1.4.2 Status in the area of financial investment 26
Chapter 2 Operation of global gold market in 2006 and 2007 27
2.1 General supply and demand of global gold 27
2.2 Supply of global gold 28
2.2.1 Resource condition 28
2.2.2 Production of mineral gold 29
2.2.3 Change of production cost 31
2.2.4 Hedging condition of producers 34
2.2.5 Heavy selling of official gold 35
2.2.6 Supply of regenerated gold 36
2.2.7 Forecast of global output 37
2.3 Demand of global gold 37
2.3.1 Global demand scale 37
2.3.2 Gold reserve by country 40
2.3.3 Demand of investment 42
2.4 Analysis of international gold price 42
2.4.1 Analysis of trend of international gold price in 2007 42
2.4.2 Market review of international gold price in 2006 45
2.4.3 Main reason for continuous slump of international gold
price during 1980-2001 48
2.4.4 Forecast of international gold price trend in 2008 49
2.5 World gold trade market 50
Chapter 3 Operation of China's gold industry in 2006 and 2007 51
3.1 Supply of domestic gold 51
3.1.1 Gold reserve and reserve basis 51
3.1.2 Gold output by year 52
3.1.3 Gold output in 2007 52
3.1.4 Gold output in 2006 53
3.2 Analysis of domestic gold demand 54
3.2.1 Demand scale 54
3.2.2 Demand structure 54
3.2.3 Forecast of demand potential 55
3.3 Analysis of domestic gold price 56
3.4 Analysis of China's jewelry market 56
Chapter 4 Analysis of China's gold import and export in 2007 57
4.1 Profile of import and export of domestic gold 57
4.2 Import and export of domestic jewelry 57
4.2.1 Scale and structure of import 57
4.2.2 Mode and structure of import trade 58
4.2.3 Source area of import 67
4.2.4 Scale and structure of export 69
4.2.5 Mode of export trade 69
4.2.6 Destination of export 71
4.2.7 Area of export 72
4.3 Import of domestic gold 76
4.3.1 Scale and structure of import 76
4.3.2 Source area of import 76
4.3.3 Area of import 80
4.4 Export of domestic gold 81
4.4.1 Scale and structure of export 81
4.4.2 Mode of export trade 82
4.4.3 Area of export 82
4.4.4 Destination of export 84
Chapter 5 Analysis of investment opportunity and risk 89
5.1 Investment opportunity 89
5.2 Investment risk 89
Chapter 6 Operation of superior enterprises 90
6.1 Overview 90
6.2 Profile of Top 5 enterprises 91
6.2.1 Shandong Zhaojin Group 91
6.2.2 Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd 92
6.2.3 Zhongjin Gold Co., Ltd 92
6.2.4 Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd 94
6.2.5 Lingbao Gold Co., Ltd 95
Figures 98
Tables 98
Figures
Figure 1 Growth rate of global real GDP 5
Figure 2 Consumer price index 5
Figure 3 Proportion of consumption in GDP in main countries 6
Figure 4 Household savings rate 7
Figure 5 Huge trade deficit of the US 8
Figure 6 China's trade surplus keeps increasing 8
Figure 7 Dollar index and gold price 9
Figure 8 Ten-year government bond yield and gold price of the US
10
Figure 9 Labor productivity and labor cost of the US 11
Figure 10 Producer and consumer price index of the US 11
Figure 11 Gold and crude oil price 13
Figure 12 Price ratio of gold and crude oil price 14
Figure 13 COMEX fund position and gold price 15
Figure 14 Official total gold reserve of central bank by country
16
Figure 15 Gold reserve of central bank in Europe 17
Figure 16 Official reserve held by main institutions 17
Figure 17 Comprehensive cash cost of Barrick gold 31
Figure 18 Global output of mineral gold 31
Figure 19 Proportion of Barrick inflationary hedge position in
gold reserve 34
Figure 20 Gold price is reaching history high 43
Figure 21Trend of gold price 43
Figure 22 Relationship of gold price and energy (crude oil)
price 44
Figure 23 Relationship of gold price and US dollar 44
Figure 24 Platinum price hit a new high 45
Figure 25 Global annual gold output and annual average gold
price 47
Figure 26 Global official gold reserve 38
Figure 27 Gold price removing inflation (in US dollar) in 2006
50
Figure 28 China's gold output in 1996 and 2006 52
Figure 29 Distribution of output of gold producers 90
Tables
Table 1 State exchange and gold reserve in 2007 (January to
September) 22
Table 2 World official gold reserve in June, 2007 23
Table 3 Output of gold mine in 2006 28
Table 4 World output of mineral gold and output distribution by
continent in 1996 and 2006 29
Table 5 Output of mineral gold by main gold-producing countries,
1996-2006 30
Table 6 Change of production cost of main gold-producing
countries by year 33
Table 7 Supply and demand of global gold, 2002-2006 34
Table 8 Net sales volume of official gold, 1996-2006 35
Table 9 World output of regenerated gold and output distribution
by continent, 1996-2006 36
Table 10 Balance of supply and demand of world gold, 2004-2006
38
Table 11 Consumption and distribution of gold manufacturing
industry (including using regenerated gold) 39
Table 12 Proportion of world official gold reserve (by the end
of 2006) 41
Table 13 Annual average price, the highest price and the lowest
price of London gold and silver market, 2002-2006 46
Table 14 Change of official gold reserve, 1980-2001 48
Table 15 Comparison of factors influencing demand in China
Mainland and international gold market 54
Table 16 Import scale of China's jewelry related products,
January-September, 2007 57
Table 17 Import mode of China's natural or cultivated pearl
(regardless of whether processed or not) January-September, 2007
58
Table 18 Import mode of China's non-beset diamond (regardless of
whether processed or not) January-September, 2007 58
Table 19 Import mode of China's precious stone or semi-precious
stone January-September, 2007 59
Table 20 Import mode of China's synthetic or remade precious
stone or semi-precious stone January-September, 2007 59
Table 21 Import mode of China's powder of natural or synthetic
precious stone or semi-precious stone, January-September, 2007
60
Table 22 Import mode of China's unforged, semi-finished or
powder silver, January-September, 2007 60
Table 23 Import mode of China's silver-plated materials based on
base metal, January-September, 2007 61
Table 24 Import mode of China's other precious metal products or
precious metal-plated products, January-September, 2007 61
Table 25 Import mode of China's products produced by natural or
cultivated pearl, precious stone or semi-precious stone,
January-September, 2007 62
Table 26 Import mode of China's imitated jewelry,
January-September, 2007 62
Table 27 Import mode of China's coin, January-September, 2007 63
Table 28 Import mode of China's unforged, semi-finished or
powder platinum, January-September, 2007
Table 29 Import mode of China's platinum-plated material based
on base metal, silver or gold, January-September, 2007 64
Table 30 Import mode of China's waste crushed aggregates of
precious metal or precious metal-plated material,
January-September, 2007 64
Table 31 Import mode of China's jewelry and accessory produced
by precious metal or precious metal-plated material,
January-September, 2007 65
Table 32 Import mode of China's gold and silver ware and
accessory produced by precious metal or precious metal-plated
material, January-September, 2007 65
Table 33 Source area of import of China's gold and jewelry
products by volume, January-September, 2007 67
Table 34 Source area of import of China's gold and jewelry
products by money, January-September, 2007 67
Table 35 Export scale of China's gold and jewelry related
products, January-September, 2007 69
Table 36 Export mode of China's unforged, semi-finished or
powder platinum, January-September, 2007 69
Table 37 Datasheet of area of export of China's gold and related
products by volume 71
Table 38 Datasheet of area of export of China's gold and related
products by money 71
Table 39 Volume of exported silver jewelry beset with diamond
and its accessory, other silver jewelry and accessory, gold
jewelry beset with diamond and its accessory, and other gold
jewelry and accessory by province, January-September, 2007 72
Table 40 Money of exported silver jewelry beset with diamond and
its accessory, other silver jewelry and accessory, gold jewelry
beset with diamond and its accessory, and other gold jewelry and
accessory by province, January-September, 2007 74
Table 41 Import volume of China's gold jewelry beset with
diamond and accessory, as well as other gold jewelry and
accessory, January-September, 2007 76
Table 42 Import volume of China's gold jewelry beset with
diamond and accessory, as well as other gold jewelry and
accessory, 2006 76
Table 43 Import volume and money of China's gold jewelry beset
with diamond and accessory by country, January-September, 2007
76
Table 44 Import volume and money of China's gold jewelry beset
with diamond and accessory by country, 2006 77
Table 45 Import volume and money of China's other gold jewelry
and accessory by country, January-September, 2007 78
Table 46 Import volume and money of China's other gold jewelry
and accessory by country, 2006 79
Table 47 Import volume of China's gold jewelry beset with
diamond and accessory, as well as other gold jewelry and
accessory by province, January-September, 2007 80
Table 48 Import volume of China's gold jewelry beset with
diamond and accessory, as well as other gold jewelry and
accessory by province, 2006 80
Table 49 Import money of China's gold jewelry beset with diamond
and accessory, as well as other gold jewelry and accessory by
province, January-September, 2007 81
Table 50 Import money of China's gold jewelry beset with diamond
and accessory, as well as other gold jewelry and accessory by
province, 2006 81
Table 51 Export volume of China's gold jewelry beset with
diamond and accessory, as well as other gold jewelry and
accessory by province, January-September, 2007 81
Table 52 Export volume of China's gold jewelry beset with
diamond and accessory, as well as other gold jewelry and
accessory by province, 2006 81
Table 53 Export mode of China's unforged, semi-finished or
powder platinum, January-September, 2007 82
Table 54 Export volume of China's gold jewelry beset with
diamond and accessory, as well as other gold jewelry and
accessory by province, January-September, 2007 82
Table 55 Export volume of China's gold jewelry beset with
diamond and accessory, as well as other gold jewelry and
accessory by province, 2006 83
Table 56 Export money of China's gold jewelry beset with diamond
and accessory, as well as other gold jewelry and accessory by
province, 2006 83
Table 57 Export volume and money of China's gold jewelry beset
with diamond and accessory by country, January-September, 2007
84
Table 58 Export volume and money of China's gold jewelry beset
with diamond and accessory by country, 2006 85
Table 59 Export volume and money of China's other gold jewelry
and accessory by country, January-September, 2007 86
Table 60 Export volume and money of China's other gold jewelry
and accessory by country, 2006 86
Table 61 Comparison of performance index of Top 5 listed gold
companies 90
Table 62 Main financial index 94
Table 63 Shareholders by the end of 2006 95
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