Market Research Report on China's Civil aviation Industry in 2007

Market Research Report on China's Civil aviation Industry in 2007

Brief Introduction

This research report studies on the development of the world's civil aviation industry in 2006 and analyzes the current status and forecasts the future of China's civil aviation industry, including transport overturn, ticket fare levels, aviation oil prices, occupancy rate of airlines companies, and impacts of the appreciation of RMB on airlines companies. Furthermore, the report gives more analysis on the trends of the market competition and the trend of M & A. After an introduction of the background of the reforms on China's airport charging policy, this report continues to analyze its impacts on the profitability of airports and airlines companies. Based on the data from National Statistic Bureau, CAAC and other authorities in this industry, this report are reliable, systematic and logical, which makes important reference for investing into China's GA industry.

Table of Contents

1 Development of China's civil aviation industry in 2006 5
1.1 Development of World's civil aviation industry in 2006 5
1.1.1 Profits of world's civil aviation industry in 2006 5
1.1.2 Occupancy Rate and Ticket Price level in World's civil aviation industry5
1.2 Total Transport Volume of China's civil aviation (CA) Industry in 2006 7
1.2.1 Analysis on total transport volume of China's CA industry in 2006 7
1.2.2 Comparison of transport volume growth rate of national airlines with that of international airlines 10
1.2.3 Forecast study on growth rate of transport volume 11
1.3 Ticket price level of China's CA industry in 2006 14
1.4 Oil price analysis of China's CA industry in 2006 17
1.4.1 Oil price of China's CA industry in 2006 17
1.4.2 Influence of Oil price changes on Airlines 19
1.5 Occupancy rate of airlines in 2006 21
1.6 Influence of the appreciation of the RMB on China's airlines companies 22
1.7 Competition trend and M&A trend in China's CA industry 24

2 Analysis of China's airport industry in 2006 26
2.1 Production statistics for China's airport industry in 2006 26
2.2 Reform of China's airport charges policy 29
2.2.1 Background of airport charges policy reform 29
2.2.2 Principles of the new policy 29
2.2.3 Invalid date of the new policy 30
2.2.4 Main content of the new policy 30
2.2.4.1 Changes of the classification of airports 30
2.2.4.2 Aviation charges 30
2.2.4.3 An average decrease by 3.5% of Charges standards under the new policy 31
2.3 Profitable patterns of China's airports 36
2.3.1 Landing Fee Collection 36
2.3.2 Franchising Revenue 36
2.4 Analysis of China's airport industry in 2006 41
2.4.1 Cities served by air and airports in China 41
2.4.2 Key production indicators 42
2.4.3 Distribution of passengers handled capacity 42
2.4.4 Distribution of freight handled capacity 43

3 China's CA industry supervision system 59
3.1 China's aviation oil supervision system
3.1.1 A brief introduction to China Aviation Oil Holding Company
3.1.2 China Aviation Oil Pricing System 60
3.1.3 Future directions of China's aviation reforms of China aviation oil supervision system 61
3.2 Purchasing system of aviation material and aircrafts 61

4 Fleet structure of China's airlines companies 62
4.1 Fleet structure of China's major airlines groups 62
4.1.1 Fleet structure of China National Aviation Holding Company 62
4.1.2 Fleet structure of China Southern Airlines
4.1.3 Fleet structure of China Eastern Airlines Group 66
4.1.4 Fleet structure of Hainan Airlines Group 68
4.2 Fleet structure of China's regional airlines companies 69
4.2.1 East China 69
4.2.2 Mid-South China 72
4.2.3 North China 76
4.2.4 Northeast China 80
4.2.5 Southwest China 82
4.2.6 Northwest China 85
4.2.7 Xinjiang, China 85
4.3 China's aircraft leasing statistics 87

5 Operational statistics of China's CIVIL AVIATION industry 105
5.1 Overview of China's CA industry 105
5.2 Analysis of China's CA industry commercial transport 108
5.3 Statistics of air transport in China's CIVIL AVIATION industry 111
5.3.1 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (In total) 111
5.3.2 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (regular flight) 115
5.3.3 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (overtime flight) 119
5.3.4 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (charter flight) 123
5.3.5 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (domestic routes) 130
5.3.6 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (regular flight of domestic routes) 133
5.3.7 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (overtime flight of domestic routes) 137
5.3.8 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (charter flight of domestic routes) 140
5.3.9 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (specially chartered flight of domestic routes) 142
5.3.10 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (other flight of domestic routes) 143
5.3.11 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (routes to Hong Kong and Macau) 145
5.3.12 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (charter flight of routes to Hong Kong and Macau) 151
5.3.13 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (specially chartered flight of routes to Hong Kong and Macau) 153
5.3.14 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (international routes) 154
5.3.15 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (regular flight of international routes) 156
5.3.16 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (overtime flight of international routes) 60
5.3.17 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (charter flight of international routes) 162
5.3.18 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (specially chartered flight of international routes) 164
5.3.19 Statistics of air transport by type of aircraft (other flight of international routes) 165
5.4 Average Velocity per route and Average transport distance per cargo 167
5.5 Transport statistics of 27 major airlines companies 178
5.6 Aircraft utilization ratios of airlines companies 181
5.6.1 Full-sized aircrafts 181
5.6.2 Small-sized aircrafts 190
5.6.3 CIVIL AVIATION aircrafts 192
5.7 Statistics of financial benefits from regular flights of airlines companies 203

Appendix figures 214
Appendix tables 215

Appendix Figures
Figure 1 America's Aviation occupancy rate in 2006 6
Figure 2 Ticket fare levels of America's domestic routes 6
Figure 3 Revenue per Revenue Passenger Mile (RPM) of America's Aviation industry 6
Figure 4 Passengers Carried of CAAC from 2000 to 2006 7
Figure 5 Passenger Turnover of CAAC from 2000 to 2006 8
Figure 6 Cargo & Mail Carried of CAAC from 2000 t0 2006 8
Figure 7 Cargo & Mail Turnover of CAAC from 2000 t0 2006 8
Figure 8 Total Ton-Kilometers Performed of CAAC in 2006 9
Figure 9 Passengers Carried of CAAC in 2006 9
Figure 10 Growth rate of CAAC Passengers Turnover, Cargo & Mail Turnover and GDP from 1991 to 2006 10
Figure 11 Passengers Carried of CAAC domestic routes in 2006 10
Figure 12 Passengers Carried of CAAC international routes in 2006 11
Figure 13 Comparison of the Number of Passengers with the population in China 12
Figure 14 CAAC Passengers' Purposes for Trip and Comparison between them 13
Figure 15 China owns 4 of the World's Top 10 international tourism routes 13
Figure 16 The number of personal outbound in China 14
Figure 17 Revenue per PRM of China Southern Airlines 15
Figure 18 Revenue per PRM of Shanghai Airlines 15
Figure 19 Ticket fare levels for CAAC domestic routes in 2006 16
Figure 20 Ticket fare levels for CAAC international routes in 2006 16
Figure 21 Domestic Aviation Oil Prices 17
Figure 22 Pricing trend of aviation coal in China and Singapore from 2005 to 2006 19
Figure 23 Oil cost and total cost of major airlines companies in 2005 20
Figure 24 Oil cost and total cost of major airlines companies in 2004 20
Figure 25 Occupancy rate changes of China National Aviation, China Southern Airlines, China Eastern Airlines and Shanghai Airlines from 2004 to 2006 21
Figure 26 Monthly Changes of CAAC Occupancy Rate in 2006 21
Figure 27 Monthly Changes of China Southern Airlines Occupancy Rate in 2006 22
Figure 28 Monthly Changes of China National Aviation Occupancy Rate in 2006 22
Figure 29 exchange rate trend of RMB against USD from 2005 to 2006(RMB/1 USD) 23
Figure 30 Growth of China's airport capacity for passengers and landing form 1998 to 2006 26
Figure 31 Comparison of airport landing growth between China's hub airports and other airports in 2006 26
Figure 32 Comparison of airport passenger handled capacity growth between China's hub airports and other airports in 2006 26
Figure 33 Charge rate changes of 3 typical types of aircraft (foreign airlines) 35
Figure 34 Proportion of landing charge in total operational cost in America's aviation industry 36
Figure 35 Non-flight Revenue comparison between domestic and foreign airports (million) 37
Figure 36 Non-flight Revenue per million passengers of domestic and foreign airports (million) 37
Figure 37 Major business revenue of the Capital Airport in the first half of 2005-2006 38
Figure 38 Major operational cost of the Capital Airport in the first half of 2005-2006 38
Figure 39 Franchising revenue of Hong Kong Airport in 2005 41
Figure 40 Franchising revenue of Hong Kong Airport in 2005 41
Figure 41 Organizational structure of China Aviation Oil Holding Company 60
Figure 42 Organizational structure of China Aviation Supplies Import & Export Corp. 62
Figure 43 The number of CAAC fleets from 1980 to 2005 105
Figure 44 The number of CAAC fleets increased from 1980 to 2005 106

Appendix tables
Table 1 CAAC major indexes comparison between in 2005 and in 2006 9
Table 2 Aviation oil prices comparison between in 2005 and in 2006 17
Table 3 Influential factors of aviation coal price in 2006 17
Table 4 The latest worldwide aviation oil (WTI) price forecast 18
Table 5 Aviation oil companies' sensibility to price 19
Table 6 Impact of RMB appreciation by 1% on major airlines companies operation 23
Table 7 Restructure of China National Aviation Holding Company from July, 2005 to Decmember,2006 24
Table 8 Comparison of the numbers of landing in major airports from Jan. to Sept. between in 2005 and in 2006 27
Table 9 Comparison of cargo & mail capacity increased of major airports from Jan. to Sept. between in 2005 and in 2006 27
Table 10 Comparison of passenger capacity increased capacity of major airports from Jan. to Sept. between in 2005 and in 2006 27
Table 11 Operational statistics of major airports from Jan. to Sept. in 2005 and in 2006 28
Table 12 Airport classification under the new policy (compared with the No. 269 document) 30
Table 13 Flight-related Charge items and their content under the new policy 30
Table 14 Airport charges for domestic flights under current policy (the No. 179 document) 31
Table 15 Airport charges basic prices for domestic flights and range of their fluctuation under the new policy 32
Table 16 Airport charges basic prices for domestic flights and range of their fluctuation under the new policy (continued) 32
Table 17 Airport charge price changes for domestic flights (3 typical types of airplanes) in domestic routes 32
Table 18 Basic parameters of the 3 typical types of airplanes: B737-300,B767-200 and B747-400 33
Table 19 Airport charge prices for foreign flights under the new policy 33
Table 20 Airport charge prices for foreign flights under the new policy (continued) 33
Table 21 Airport charge price changes for foreign flights (3 typical types of airplanes) 34
Table 22 Main content of Reform Plans of Civil Airport Charging Policy (For Discussion) issued at the end of 2005 35
Table 23 Comparison of charging items between Hong Kong Airport and the Capital Airport 39

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