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China Lithium Carbonate Industry Research Report, 2007-2008

Published:Jan,26 2008

Introduction

Lithium Metal was used abroad in battery industry, ceramic industry, glass industry, aluminum industry, lubricant, refrigerant, nuclear industry, optoelectronic industry and other new application area. From the lithium metal application area in Year 2006, the use of battery industry, lubricant and ceramic industry accounts for 21.4%, 16.54% and 12.65% respectively. Because lithium carbonate is the basic material of producing secondary lithia and lithium metal, so lithium carbonate is the most important product in lithium industry and other industrial lithium products are the downstream products of lithium carbonate.

¡¡¡¡At present, the global market capacity of lithium carbonate is about 90,000 tons. Seeing from the annals statistic of inorganic salt in Asia, the demand for lithium carbonate all over the world in Year 2006 reaches 83,800 tons and the supply reaches 8,500 tons, so it is thus clear that the supply and demand of lithium carbonate in Year 2006 is quite in balance. According to the prediction of our research center, the demand for lithium carbonate all over the world in Year 2007 will exceed 90,000 tons, with the increasing rate of about 8%. In three to five years, the global demand for lithium will increase at the rate of 5% to 7%, which will exceed the growth level of the global economy, showing that the global lithium industry is a strong GDP industry. Considering the development of lithium battery in power cell area and the upsurge of consuming the electronic products, we think these basic conditions will provide the beneficial support to the annual growth rate of 8% of the global lithium carbonate demand.

¡¡¡¡Though having the high value resource of salt lake, till Year 2004 our country had obtained the key technical breakthrough of extracting lithium carbonate from the Laolu solution with high magnesium and low potassium, and be able to entry the global lithium carbonate market. The present produce capacity of lithium carbonate in our country is only 3,300 tons. From 2008 to 2010, there will be 4,500 tons of production capacity releasing successively. As our country¡¯s lithium carbonate is the main region of global produce capacity release, which will have an important influence to the supply pattern of global lithium carbonate. Seeing from the present global business, the market focus on, the global main produce capacity is concentrating in the three company of SQM, FMC and Chemetall, which¡¯s produce capacity account for 73% of the global produce capacity. Because the enterprise producing lithium carbonate in scale should have the exploitation right of salt lake that contains the abundant lithium resource, this industry has rather high resource barrier; On the other hand, because most resources of the global salt lake are high magnesium and low potassium, and the technology of extracting and separating lithium carbonate from the Laolu solution with high magnesium and low potassium is quite difficult and this technology is held by the few foreign company before, all these make the lithium carbonate industry has the technology barrier. As a result, there forms the global oligarch monopoly pattern in the lithium carbonate industry. With the big lithium carbonate items in our country putting onto production successively, the status of supply and demand in balance in the lithium carbonate industry will be deteriorated rapidly. There will be 13,200 tons of lithium carbonate surplus in Year 2007 and this will be further deteriorated in Year 2008. The supply exceeds the demand greatly will lead to the price quickly fall down.
The research report of industry investment and market analysis of Chinese lithium carbonate industry in Year 2007 mainly analyzes the production, sale, market, price, product¡¯s structure, degree of concentration, competition status of lithium carbonate industry and the competition information of the national enterprise¡¯s operation and survival. And at the same time, it analyzes the main factors influencing the lithium carbonate industry, the competition pattern and development trend in domestic and foreign market. The report also collects the up to date table and research data of hundreds of industries in Year 2006 and 2007, which aims at providing the insight opportunities and adjustment of operational policy for the lithium carbonate enterprise and providing the exact information and scientific decision-making basis for the industry investor to choose the investment strategy.
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Table of Contents

 
Chapter 1 Lithium carbonate industry analysis 5
1.1 Definition of lithium carbonate products 5
1.2 Attribute analysis on lithium carbonate industry 5
1.2.1 Correlation analysis on economic growth 6
1.2.2 Correlation analysis on chemical industry 6
1.2.3 Fluctuation of China lithium carbonate industry by year 7
1.3 Analysis of lithium carbonate industry chain 8
1.3.1 Supply of china lithium ore 8
1.3.2 Distribution and supply of China salt lake bittern 11
1.3.3 Raw material purchase of China main lithium carbonate producers 11

Chapter 2 Development trend of lithium carbonate technology 12
2.1 Description of current lithium carbonate quality standard by class 12
2.1.1 Industry grade field 12
2.1.2 Fluorescence grade field 12
2.1.3 Battery grade field 12
2.1.4 Pharmaceutical grade field 12
2.1.5 High-purity grade field 12
2.2 Comparison analysis of foreign and domestic production process and cost of lithium carbonate 15
2.2.1 Recovery of lithium from ore 15
2.2.2 Recovery of lithium from salt lake bittern 16
2.3 Comparison analysis of current production cost of lithium carbonate 18
2.3.1 Production technology and review 18
2.3.2 Main representative producers and cost calculation 18
2.3.3 Analysis on key factors affecting cost of lithium carbonate (except technology) 19


Chapter 3 Supply and demand of lithium carbonate in 2006 and analysis on market forecast 19
3.1 Analysis on current lithium carbonate market structure and driving force of market development 19
3.1.1 Global lithium carbonate market scale 19
3.1.2 Driving force of lithium carbonate market development in the future 20
3.1.3 Forecast analysis on global lithium carbonate demand, 2007-2008 20
3.2 Analysis on lithium carbonate industry concentration ratio and effect of release of future production capacity 21
3.2.1 Production capacity and production capacity of new projects of global main lithium carbonate enterprises 21
3.2.2 Production capacity and production capacity of new projects of China main lithium carbonate enterprises 21
3.2.3 Forecast analysis on global lithium carbonate demand, 2007-2008 22
3.2.4 Output of global main lithium carbonate producers and forecast on output in 2007 22
3.2.5 Forecast analysis on global lithium carbonate supply and demand, 2007-2008 23


Chapter 4 Analysis of lithium carbonate product price trend and forecast 24
4.1 Fluctuation of lithium carbonate product price, 1998-2006 24
4.2 Forecast analysis on lithium carbonate product price trend, 2007-2010 26
4.3 Analysis on price of products of main lithium carbonate producers in 2006 28


Chapter 5 Analysis on import and export of lithium carbonate and trade trend 30
5.1 Import of lithium carbonate in 2006-2007 30
5.2 Export of lithium carbonate in 2006-2007 30
5.3 Analysis on lithium carbonate import and export trade in 2006 31
5.4 Analysis on lithium carbonate import and export price trend, 2006-2007 31


Chapter 6 Evaluation analysis of management state of domestic lithium carbonate superior enterprises 32
6.1 Citic Guoan Group 32
6.1.1 Profile 32
6.1.2 Analysis on current production capacity, increased production capacity and output 33
6.1.3 Income structure, 2007 33
6.1.4 Enterprise profit evaluation, 2007 34
6.1.5 Development and prospect forecast, 2007-2008 34
6.2 Tibet Mineral Development Co., Ltd 34
6.2.1 Profile 34
6.2.2 Analysis on current production capacity, increased production capacity and output 35
6.2.3 Income structure, 2006 35
6.2.4 Enterprise profit evaluation, 2006 36
6.2.5 Development and prospect forecast, 2007-2008 36
6.3 Qinghai Lithium Co., Ltd 36
6.3.1 Profile 36
6.3.2 Analysis on current production capacity, increased production capacity and output 36
6.3.3. Enterprise profit evaluation 37
6.3.4 Development and prospect forecast, 2007-2008 37
6.4 Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Group Co., Ltd 37
6.4.1 Profile 37
6.4.2 Analysis on current production capacity, increased production capacity and output 37
6.4.3 Income structure, 2006 38
6.4.4 Enterprise profit evaluation, 2006 39
6.4.5 Development and prospect forecast, 2007-2008 39

Chapter 7 Domestic lithium carbonate designed projects and projects under construction 39
7.1 Citic Guoan Group 39
7.2 Tibet Mineral Development Co., Ltd 40
7.3 Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Group Co., Ltd 41
7.4 Qinghai Lithium Co., Ltd 41

Chapter 8 Lithium carbonate distributors 42
8.1 Shanghai Humisource Co., Ltd 42
8.2 Pan-Asia (Nantong) Lithium Co., Ltd 42
8.3 Shanghai Chineway Pharmaceutical Tech. Co., Ltd 42

Chapter 9 Analysis on foreign lithium carbonate market 43
9.1 Profile 43
9.2 Asia 43
9.3 Europe Union 43
9.4 North American Free Trade Area 43

Chapter 10 Theory analysis on 5 kinds of competitiveness of China lithium carbonate market competing environment 44
10.1 Threatening from entrants 44
10.2 Analysis on purchasers 44
10.3 Analysis on suppliers 44
10.4 Threatening of new products (substitute) 45
10.5 Analysis on current competitors within the industry 45

Chapter 11 Risk evaluation of lithium carbonate industry, 2007 45
11.1 Risk evaluation of macroeconomic fluctuation 45
11.2 Risk evaluation of policy 45
11.3 Risk evaluation of variation in up and down stream industry 46
11.4 Risk evaluation of contradiction between supply and demand 46
11.5 Risk evaluation of industry competition 46
11.6 Synthetic evaluation of industry risk 46

Chapter 12 Analysis on suggestion of circular economy of China's lithium carbonate industry 48
12.1 Enhancing exploration and protection of resource 48
12.2 Accelerating large scale development 48
12.3 Accelerating development of new enterprises 48
12.4 Enhancing research on refinement of lithium salt 48
Tables 50
Figures 51

Tables
Table 1 Quality standard of lithium carbonate products 5
Table 2 World reserve and reserve basis of lithium, 2006 (lithium/10,000 t) 8
Table 3 China's reserve of lithium resources (lithium/10,000 t) 9
Table 4 Lithium salt reserve of main salt lakes in Qaidam Basin (lithium/10,000 t) 10
Table 5 Resource reserve of salt lake bittern in China (lithium/10,000 t) 11
Table 6 Chemical components of battery grade field 12
Table 7 Regulation on choosing the number of sample bags 13
Table 8 Quality standard: China Pharmacopoeia-1995 14
Table 9 Comparison of main technology and cost of lithium carbonate 18
Table 10 Forecast on global demand of lithium carbonate (unit: 10,000 t) 20
Table 11 Production capacity and increased production capacity of lithium carbonate 22
Table 12 Estimation of output of global main lithium carbonate producers and output of other producers (unit: t) 22
Table 13 Price of main lithium carbonate enterprises, 2006 29
Table 14 China's import of lithium carbonate, 2003-2007 30
Table 15 China's import of lithium carbonate by month, 2006 30
Table 16 China's import of lithium carbonate by month, 2007 30
Table 17 China's export of lithium carbonate, 2003-2007 30
Table 18 China's export of lithium carbonate by month, 2006 30
Table 19 China's export of lithium carbonate by month, 2007 31
Table 20 China's import and export of lithium carbonate, 2003-2007 31
Table 21 China's import and export price of lithium carbonate, 2003-2007 31
Table 22 China's import and export price of lithium carbonate by month, 2006 32
Table 23 China's import and export price of lithium carbonate by month, 2007 32
Table 24 Forecast on main products of Qinghai Citic Guoan Technology Development Co., Ltd 33
Table 25 Balance sheet (unit: 1,000 RMB) 38
Table 26 Income statement (unit: 1,000 RMB) 38
Table 27 Cash flow statement (unit: 1,000 RMB) 39

Figures
Figure 1 Application distribution of lithium, 2005 5
Figure 2 Market trend of chemical industry index 6
Figure 3 Analysis of price trend of lithium carbonate 7
Figure 4 Forecast on global lithium carbonate supply and demand 23
Figure 5 Historical trend of lithium carbonate price 24
Figure 6 Variation in income from lithium carbonate and derived products of SQM 25
Figure 7 Variation in output of lithium carbonate and derived products of SQM 25
Figure 8 Structure of main income of SQM, 2005 27
Figure 9 Structure of main income of FMC, 2005 27
Figure 10 Historical trend and forecast on future trend of lithium carbonate price 28

 
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